Contact Us

Give us a call or drop by anytime, we endeavor to answer all inquiries within 24 hours.

map

Find us

PO Box 16122 Collins Street West Victoria, Australia

Email us

info@domain.com / example@domain.com

Phone support

Phone: + (066) 0760 0260 / + (057) 0760 0560

Beware of regression to the mean

  • By Alan Knott-Craig
  • June 12, 2017

Statistically speaking, you will be rewarded for punishing others, and punished for rewarding.

Its just math.

All things being equal, if the odds of scoring a goal are 50/50, then someone who has just scored a great goal is more likely to miss his next shot. Same for someone who has just missed a shot at goal.

 

The person who missed the goal is likely to score on his next attempt, regardless of whether you shout it him.

The person who scored the goal is likely to miss his next attempt, regardless of whether you reward him.

It’s simply regression to the mean.

Many people confuse confuse correlation with causation.

Based on the above results, they assume that punishment is effective, and rewards backfire.

Don’t be that dummy.

Beware of regression to the mean.